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Nasdaq 100
NDXNeutralextreme volConfidence 52 · Score 0.13
Why this bias
- Growth supports NDX (score 0.91, sens +0.90).
Invalidation: A materially weaker read on Growth would invalidate the bullish bias.
Transmission chain
Illustrative — relationships are tendencies, not guarantees.
Higher rate expectations
Higher discount rate
Long-duration tech pressured
Factor breakdown
| Factor | Score | Sensitivity | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.91 | 1.40 | +0.90 |
| Rate expectations | 0.00 | 1.80 | +0.00 |
| Monetary policy | 0.00 | 1.30 | +0.00 |
| Risk sentiment | 0.00 | 1.60 | +0.00 |
| Inflation | 0.00 | 0.90 | +0.00 |
Calculated 3:24:41 PM · Engine v1.0.0
Upcoming catalysts
08:30 AM
USDCPI YoY
Prev 3.2%Fcst 3.1%Act —%
06:30 AM
USDNonfarm Payrolls
Prev 175KFcst 190KAct 254KRev 168K
Educational note
These relationships are historical tendencies; they can weaken or reverse in different macro regimes. Use bias and confidence as inputs to your own process — never as an execution signal.